Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party still appears poised to win, pollsters say, even as its lead over the Conservative Party has shrunk.

Canadians will vote for a new government on Monday in an election that has been upended by U.S. President Donald Trump 's trade war and his threats to make Canada the 51st state. Prime Minister Mark Carney and the governing Liberal Party appeared poised for a historic election defeat until Trump slapped heavy tariffs on Canada and

The Trump threat has managed to unite Canada’s center and left in particular; the further left NDP has seen a huge dropoff in support, to the point where they may lose official party status in the next Parliament,